Appalachian State
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
587  Kyle McFoy SO 33:09
671  Will Raby SR 33:18
705  Josh Cox SR 33:22
731  James Howard-Smith SR 33:26
943  Michael Ellis FR 33:46
1,408  Andrew Vandenberg FR 34:24
1,622  Chris Garrett JR 34:43
2,613  Mark Sullivan JR 36:47
National Rank #126 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #18 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 15th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 2.9%
Top 20 in Regional 98.3%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kyle McFoy Will Raby Josh Cox James Howard-Smith Michael Ellis Andrew Vandenberg Chris Garrett Mark Sullivan
Southern Conference Meet 11/02 1105 32:48 33:29 33:18 33:28 33:43 34:20 34:21 36:47
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 1133 33:43 33:04 33:30 33:23 33:51 34:32 35:20





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 14.8 438 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.2 4.3 7.8 12.9 16.1 18.1 16.8 10.2 5.0 2.6 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyle McFoy 67.2
Will Raby 77.2
Josh Cox 82.1
James Howard-Smith 86.1
Michael Ellis 108.5
Andrew Vandenberg 145.9
Chris Garrett 165.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 0.0% 0.0 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 0.6% 0.6 9
10 2.2% 2.2 10
11 4.3% 4.3 11
12 7.8% 7.8 12
13 12.9% 12.9 13
14 16.1% 16.1 14
15 18.1% 18.1 15
16 16.8% 16.8 16
17 10.2% 10.2 17
18 5.0% 5.0 18
19 2.6% 2.6 19
20 1.6% 1.6 20
21 1.0% 1.0 21
22 0.4% 0.4 22
23 0.3% 0.3 23
24 0.0% 0.0 24
25 0.0% 0.0 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0